MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0837564e321bef17c6d449d7f264f232d04d96849d4c26ed4eb6ada4a88414ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof New York Mets, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,016,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,132,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,016,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked New York Mets | 41c | 260,214$106,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,687.61 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 135,454$79,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,131.28 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed New York Mets | 42c | 99,996$41,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,998.48 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 99,982$62,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,125.6 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed New York Mets | 42c | 55,865$23,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,463.45 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 49,495$29,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,292.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 41c | 36,438$14,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,938.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 32,738$19,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,422.75 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Mets | 41c | 26,967$10,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,937.65 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 24,017$13,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,086.95 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 21,487$13,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,349.22 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 42c | 18,128$7,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,613.56 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 16,139$9,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,661.36 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 15,835$9,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 15,219$11,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.76 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 42c | 13,515$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.11 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 12,366$7,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed New York Mets | 1c | 11,743$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 11,379$6,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.36 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 11,282$6,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.16 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 10,866$6,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.15 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 1c | 10,577$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 9,823$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.26 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed New York Mets | 27c | 7,093$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Mets | 1c | 6,571$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked New York Mets | 26c | 6,291$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed New York Mets | 14c | 5,861$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked New York Mets | 11c | 5,617$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.36 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed New York Mets | 27c | 5,342$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…972fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 0c | 4,899$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed New York Mets | 42c | 4,773$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 4,629$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.9 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,618$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.37 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 4,571$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.1 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 4,209$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 29c | 3,942$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.88 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 13c | 3,796$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed New York Mets | 38c | 3,794$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,627$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 25c | 3,516$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,508$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.33 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 3,499$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.3 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed New York Mets | 1c | 3,447$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…5e9ebacked New York Mets | 43c | 3,066$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,981$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.01 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 2,913$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed New York Mets | 17c | 2,636$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.05 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,601$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.21 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed New York Mets | 13c | 2,595$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.33 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 2,364$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…8c7fbacked New York Mets | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,294$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,209$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.08 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,100$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.11 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,076$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.9 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 2,057$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked New York Mets | 9c | 1,886$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets | 43c | 1,708$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.43 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,555$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 43c | 1,480$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 24c | 1,389$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,300$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed New York Mets | 34c | 1,261$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.36 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,194$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.49 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 1,191$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…a72abacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,157$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,098$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.23 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,075$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.31 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 23c | 1,050$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.28 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 980.73$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.91 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed New York Mets | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked New York Mets | 43c | 947.41$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 7c | 944.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked New York Mets | 34c | 915.48$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.82 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 902$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 897.24$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.81 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked New York Mets | 6c | 849.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 843.39$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 44c | 834.88$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked New York Mets | 42c | 824.28$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 824.25$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.34 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked New York Mets | 2c | 796.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7286backed New York Mets | 20c | 730.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked New York Mets | 24c | 695.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 16.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-6.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.