TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff72…6146

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$130.52
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.17
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.82
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.77
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+400%+$380.8
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.2
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$380.8
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.04
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$455
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$182
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.