NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a56aed136f657740a7339b29b33e4d091375e52b90ec669fb0b1f0a20e94457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Flames, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $930,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $885,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Flames | 23c | 450,248$103,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,557.12 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 77c | 299,900$230,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,977.09 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Avalanche | 77c | 140,000$107,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,200 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Flames | 23c | 80,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400.08 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche | 76c | 65,514$49,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,723.27 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 77c | 27,778$21,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,388.89 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Avalanche | 77c | 23,000$17,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Flames | 0c | 20,812$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 77c | 20,561$15,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.69 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Avalanche | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Avalanche | 77c | 18,500$14,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 24c | 16,963$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flames | 23c | 14,426$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.9 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 23c | 13,726$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.92 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Avalanche | 77c | 12,987$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 24c | 12,980$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.19 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flames | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Flames | 23c | 9,998$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.47 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 24c | 9,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flames | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Flames | 23c | 8,534$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.76 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flames | 1c | 8,022$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed Flames | 1c | 7,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 8c | 6,961$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.94 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Flames | 24c | 6,279$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 7c | 5,946$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 77c | 5,942$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…1ce7backed Flames | 0c | 5,750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 23c | 5,720$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.06 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Flames | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Flames | 23c | 4,295$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.63 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche | 77c | 4,260$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.87 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Flames | 23c | 4,140$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.84 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Flames | 7c | 4,081$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Flames | 23c | 3,873$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.7 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flames | 23c | 3,600$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Flames | 23c | 3,591$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.52 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flames | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Avalanche | 75c | 3,224$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.01 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 23c | 3,056$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.8 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 75c | 2,592$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.22 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Avalanche | 77c | 2,452$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.89 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Avalanche | 77c | 2,445$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Flames | 23c | 2,356$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.63 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Avalanche | 77c | 2,108$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flames | 16c | 2,105$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.01 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flames | 23c | 1,913$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.05 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 23c | 1,800$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,743$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Flames | 24c | 1,670$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 22c | 1,634$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Flames | 24c | 1,547$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.89 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Flames | 23c | 1,547$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.26 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Flames | 1c | 1,450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Flames | 23c | 1,384$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.31 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Avalanche | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,247$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Flames | 2c | 1,235$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Flames | 24c | 1,174$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Flames | 4c | 1,158$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…6365backed Flames | 1c | 1,127$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Flames | 26c | 1,030$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.35 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Flames | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Flames | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flames | 1c | 874$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Flames | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 24c | 850$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Flames | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flames | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Avalanche | 78c | 754$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Flames | 23c | 750$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Avalanche | 77c | 728$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Avalanche | 77c | 727.27$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Flames | 12c | 711.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Flames | 24c | 706.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Flames | 25c | 699.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Flames | 25c | 692.64$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Flames | 24c | 687.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Flames | 24c | 677.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 23c | 666.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Flames | 23c | 660.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche | 77c | 556.36$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Avalanche | 73c | 551.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames | 23c | 543.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Flames | 11c | 540.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Flames | 24c | 520$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Avalanche | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Flames | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Flames | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Avalanche | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Avalanche | 73c | 497.67$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Avalanchethis page
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.