NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17d1a9b33345ce6adfd472ea3ef104873b17abbe7d990023bba3589a87c77cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 3,024$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.92 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.21 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 58c | 2,381$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.03 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 42c | 1,209$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.51 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.06 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 731$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 678.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 178.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 41c | 150.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 78c | 142.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 43c | 118.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Over | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 19c | 90.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 58c | 79.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 41c | 76.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 42c | 66.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Under | 42c | 65.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed Under | 43c | 65.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 58c | 65.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 41c | 60.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 58c | 51.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Over | 59c | 51.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 65c | 42.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Under | 43c | 38.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 79c | 37.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 33.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 57c | 24.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…fa63backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Flames vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.