MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7614a997fffddbbb203725f753fa0f972033af18d7a211688e22afd5ea5bdbee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $776,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Houston Astros | 47c | 91,482$42,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,485.39 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 79,689$42,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,254.51 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…76adbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 75,189$33,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,353.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 55,011$29,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,494.73 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 46,001$25,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,227.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 34,518$18,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,639.87 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 31,581$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.21 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 29,783$13,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,380.71 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 68c | 24,233$16,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 23,499$10,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,694.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 23,352$12,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,843.6 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…d738backed Houston Astros | 46c | 20,851$9,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,302.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Houston Astros | 46c | 12,446$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.29 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 10,854$5,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 48c | 10,447$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 68c | 7,589$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.55 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 7,464$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 6,387$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.41 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 75c | 6,028$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.59 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 5,913$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.39 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 71c | 5,514$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.94 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 5,470$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 76c | 4,955$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 79c | 4,230$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 3,680$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.6 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,595$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.22 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 3,298$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.55 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,933$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.66 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,907$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.69 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 2,690$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,655$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,352$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.74 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…f21cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,138$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 2,107$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,944$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.63 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 1,839$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,812$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,481$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.12 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.13 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,281$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 1,213$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.5 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc47…2164backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,082$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,016$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,012$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.04 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…96fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Houston Astros | 51c | 997.5$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.78 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 993.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Houston Astros | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 964.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 964$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 951.91$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.03 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 928.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 890.26$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.39 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Houston Astros | 45c | 859.56$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Houston Astros | 45c | 816.38$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.01 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 816.12$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 778.88$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…91a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 770.11$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Houston Astros | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 690.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 635.15$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.33 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 608.5$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.76 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 581.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 57c | 577.19$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.01 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 564.67$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 539.57$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.76 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 524.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.97 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Houston Astros | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 46c | 496.59$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.7 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 489.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…2f38backed Houston Astros | 55c | 486.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 475.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 470.93$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.01 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Houston Astros | 54c | 466.59$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 459.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.78 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…a2fabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 424.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 399.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 387.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.