MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b654548899401efe56c53044b2af12e3d8a80b073517da1464799cbd085faa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 102,516$49,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,308.2 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 49c | 81,884$40,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,760.78 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Over | 47c | 56,150$26,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,759.57 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 52c | 49,269$25,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,620.13 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,199.94 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 38,598$19,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,850.06 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 24,792$11,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,129.34 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 9,980$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.77 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Under | 52c | 6,491$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 52c | 3,807$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.78 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 3,807$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.78 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 52c | 3,733$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 49c | 3,714$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.22 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 2,970$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.61 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 2,895$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.71 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 52c | 2,823$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.17 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 2,731$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.19 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 1,897$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 54c | 1,273$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.17 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 1,209$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.41 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 51c | 1,082$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.34 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 54c | 1,039$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.81 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 52c | 1,028$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.32 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 995.71$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 53c | 971.18$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.72 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 871.61$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.52 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 45c | 870.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.67 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 770.77$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.65 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 592.81$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 52c | 582.08$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 52c | 464.91$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 407.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.31 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 398.15$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 52c | 395.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 36c | 390.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 52c | 374.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Under | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 52c | 274.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 49c | 257.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 52c | 228.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 196.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 190.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…1b24backed Over | 47c | 186.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…e87dbacked Under | 54c | 184.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…a1e4backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 175.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 174.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 46c | 169.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 51c | 147.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 68c | 132.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 52c | 107.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 106.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed Over | 47c | 102.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…d6a9backed Under | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 98.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 98.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +228%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 87.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Under | 54c | 82.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 80.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…ed07backed Over | 49c | 77.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…3df6backed Under | 39c | 74.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 28c | 73.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 52c | 72.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…776bbacked Over | 63c | 68.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed Over | 46c | 66.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 63c | 65.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Over | 69c | 61.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Under | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 54c | 55.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 33c | 55.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 54c | 53.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 52.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 52c | 51.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.