TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5fcb…f91a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,534.62
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,594.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.7
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,052.33
Will FURIA win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$252
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$170.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$346.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.12
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.82
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$241.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$176.52
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,351.99
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,460.68
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.99
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.1
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,941.67
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.06
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Max Griffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$230.99
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$456.58
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$154.13
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$407.64
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Aaron Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,671Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$1,740.12
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Niko Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$486.02
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$276.12
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$488.77
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.22
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.57
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$378
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,569.96
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890.18
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,697.21
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$755.48
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$424.08
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,618.63
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$426
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.06
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$325
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$148.32
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312.19
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$328.8
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the BLAST Slam VII Grand Final be a reverse sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will any match last over 70 minutes at BLAST Slam VII?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$637.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+135%+$948.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$503.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$356.07
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$305.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$513.15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$500.18
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,632Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,168
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,750
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$289.06
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,835.58
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.98
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,192.34
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,666.72
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.64
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.23
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.72
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.17
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$429.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.54
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,156.8
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$848.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$711.78
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$755.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.74
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$220.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,402.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$8.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$491.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.