MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4facfa3150428543f07e44af64e6b8f553a45cb4b5c9ca3bf7ced9c8a2d70387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,823,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,627,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,823,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 781,522$338,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443,436.1 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 200,787$108,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,752.14 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 98,786$56,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,595.74 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 84,247$48,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,426.48 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 83,329$41,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,920.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 82,536$47,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,948.63 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 81,333$48,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,800 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 80,000$45,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,600 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 75,609$30,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,167.67 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 60,551$35,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,725 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 48,800$29,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,280 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 45,836$18,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,501.66 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 41,151$19,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,042.14 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 40,545$23,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,516.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 37,421$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 33,493$19,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,551.59 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 32,842$19,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,705.29 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 31,342$16,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,930.22 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 29,550$17,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,111.98 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 29,489$11,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,693.4 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 26,700$14,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,952 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 22,949$9,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,296.43 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 22,222$12,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,888.76 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 21,246$12,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,535.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 21,024$8,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,194.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 17,568$10,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,540.8 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 16,702$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,825.69 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 15,214$8,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,178.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 13,746$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,221.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 13,563$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,137.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 12,144$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,922.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 12,044$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,985.7 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 11,473$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.39 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 11,210$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,458.94 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 10,479$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.85 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 10,174$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 9,972$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.58 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 9,298$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 9,111$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.4 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 9,002$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 8,784$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.4 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 8,510$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 8,472$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.08 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 7,785$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.49 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 6,735$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.99 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 6,615$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.96 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 6,258$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.09 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 6,144$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.29 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 6,108$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.07 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 5,644$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 5,617$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,968$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.21 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,716$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 4,705$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.17 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 4,492$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 4,477$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.08 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 4,455$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.31 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…b910backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 4,430$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 4,247$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.55 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 4,142$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.77 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 3,942$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,936$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.64 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 3,894$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.64 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d9…5c04backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 3,767$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 3,608$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,542$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.61 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,404$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.55 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 3,349$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 3,287$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.27 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,249$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.42 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 2,845$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,661$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.4 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…516dbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 2,536$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 2,522$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.57 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,520$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.21 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 2,378$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.76 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 2,368$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,336$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.97 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 2,276$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.86 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 2,250$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.34 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 2,160$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,115$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.19 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,026$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.1 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a1…c2b1backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,006$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 2,004$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.52 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.11 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,935$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.74 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,879$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,803$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.96 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…d63bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,765$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…8e46backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,635$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,507$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,498$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.49 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,478$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.39 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,445$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.33 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…ed6dbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,412$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 1,407$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.61 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 15.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.