Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62485cbdbfd155f836e445e2ca2ac755e480b6a06c2a467434908d6cd6dba275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,861,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,902,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,861,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 835 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 72c | 147,025$105,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,747.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked No | 21c | 141,431$29,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,569.59 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 65c | 97,078$63,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,716.69 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…bc87backed No | 0c | 85,857$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 50c | 64,976$32,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,205.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 66c | 54,067$35,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,328.81 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…95d1backed No | 13c | 44,040$5,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed No | 31c | 25,278$7,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked No | 8c | 21,322$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…521cbacked No | 47c | 20,497$9,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,730.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 29c | 18,007$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…1244backed No | 34c | 17,336$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…15cbbacked No | 0c | 17,123$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…7630backed No | 30c | 14,621$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 55c | 13,415$7,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,061.42 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…6117backed No | 35c | 13,018$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 33c | 12,290$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes | 33c | 11,526$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,722.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed No | 38c | 10,933$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.55 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…5727backed No | 0c | 10,274$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 64c | 9,993$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 30c | 9,506$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked No | 61c | 9,452$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…f13ebacked No | 57c | 9,292$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…0a30backed No | 60c | 9,160$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed No | 36c | 8,861$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 78c | 8,463$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.25 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 54c | 8,276$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.42 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed No | 5c | 8,240$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…6eb4backed No | 29c | 8,132$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…450abacked No | 32c | 8,093$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked No | 57c | 7,942$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed No | 16c | 7,901$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…e845backed No | 32c | 7,858$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…108dbacked Yes | 61c | 7,152$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…4951backed No | 9c | 7,129$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…56d0backed No | 43c | 6,429$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 9c | 6,380$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.52 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 9c | 6,289$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 30c | 5,925$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 47c | 5,881$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 44c | 5,767$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.86 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 74c | 5,538$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.92 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 13c | 5,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 60c | 5,026$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.99 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 66c | 4,963$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 61c | 4,916$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.24 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7ef5backed No | 68c | 4,878$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…7439backed No | 63c | 4,811$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…87a4backed No | 7c | 4,542$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 20c | 4,297$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.47 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e682backed Yes | 65c | 4,190$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…ebc2backed No | 67c | 4,022$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…aa62backed Yes | 41c | 3,937$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…a50fbacked No | 61c | 3,792$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…2383backed Yes | 63c | 3,735$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 45c | 3,708$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.8 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 23c | 3,563$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 64c | 3,548$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.27 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…e5b1backed Yes | 32c | 3,519$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked No | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 22c | 3,301$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.74 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 3,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.51 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 48c | 3,220$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc9…8a71backed No | 28c | 3,143$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…d79bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,130$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 67c | 3,030$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.17 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 15c | 2,925$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 51c | 2,869$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.64 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 47c | 2,793$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.49 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…0bf0backed No | 23c | 2,741$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,632$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.76 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked Yes | 31c | 2,572$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 13c | 2,521$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 37c | 2,484$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.95 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 56c | 2,450$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.23 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…4ccfbacked No | 1c | 2,417$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3b…1f54backed No | 23c | 2,301$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed No | 23c | 2,270$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.43 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 42c | 2,253$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.22 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…9c71backed No | 63c | 2,242$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked No | 12c | 2,221$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked No | 11c | 2,209$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked Yes | 44c | 2,188$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.27 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 65c | 2,176$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.93 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed Yes | 44c | 2,174$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 77c | 2,132$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.98 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…59a2backed No | 17c | 2,113$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…58dabacked No | 44c | 2,110$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4a…dd04backed Yes | 39c | 2,084$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 56c | 2,037$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.39 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…7c76backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…b9b1backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…79bbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,998$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 55c | 1,994$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.02 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…a16fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,994$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed No | 53c | 1,935$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…c570backed Yes | 69c | 1,932$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.