TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x997d…decf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,335.25
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$6,409.07
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$5,525.07
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$561.38
UFC Fight Night: Marwan Rahiki vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ollie Schmid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$497
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$185.35
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Cam Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$161.28
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Junior Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51%+$184.98
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gerald Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$446.79
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ben Johnston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jonathan Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$106.29
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$947.36
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,994.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+203.5%+$406.97
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$217
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.8%+$330.5
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$945
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+165.3%+$330.64
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$700
VOOI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$409.97
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$260.92
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.79
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,625.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$79.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$87.37
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+271.9%+$1,087.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,699Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$451.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+217.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+217.6%+$202.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$262.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.2%+$3,666.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$344.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$912.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.