Space · resolved market
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1759c3e68534f1e2fa199bd3de49e4e72141ca3713779ab51d3dd51172c41b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 31c | 38,534$12,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,005.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 71c | 33,658$23,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,768.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 3c | 26,460$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 18c | 23,853$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 70c | 12,360$8,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 68c | 11,427$7,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 8,820$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 8,717$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 30c | 8,148$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 64c | 7,631$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 30c | 6,360$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 16c | 6,193$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.63 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…3e76backed Yes | 34c | 4,359$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…1a04backed No | 74c | 3,786$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 69c | 3,771$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…7defbacked Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked No | 73c | 3,403$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked Yes | 24c | 3,369$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 3c | 3,355$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,107$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 30c | 2,756$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,569$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 34c | 2,461$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 71c | 2,325$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,263$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 28c | 2,160$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 31c | 2,102$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 32c | 2,033$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.41 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,776$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 32c | 1,755$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 74c | 1,718$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 16c | 1,685$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…6957backed Yes | 31c | 1,655$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 11c | 1,641$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 17c | 1,506$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…09dfbacked No | 70c | 1,419$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 1,372$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…72cfbacked No | 72c | 1,364$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,359$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked No | 71c | 1,307$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…dd11backed No | 71c | 1,268$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 29c | 1,255$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.35 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…1046backed Yes | 29c | 1,250$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…1228backed No | 67c | 1,235$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…ca8dbacked No | 74c | 1,195$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…6db5backed Yes | 1c | 1,193$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…3785backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 1,027$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…8a19backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 4c | 999.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 30c | 988.17$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…47b6backed No | 69c | 980.86$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 28c | 897.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed Yes | 16c | 870$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 849.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 4c | 802.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 797.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 795.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 780.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed Yes | 29c | 771$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 19c | 750$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 24c | 749.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 12c | 743.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 699.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…6834backed Yes | 37c | 682.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…6909backed Yes | 32c | 670$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 647.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…074dbacked Yes | 30c | 630$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…25c9backed No | 70c | 630$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d34cbacked Yes | 33c | 598.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 7c | 597$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…8acfbacked No | 70c | 580$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…09c4backed Yes | 30c | 580$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked Yes | 12c | 569$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 26c | 554.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 5c | 554.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…84a0backed No | 72c | 554.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…1326backed No | 67c | 544.09$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 68c | 531$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 530.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 32c | 514$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 23c | 500.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…3613backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…3e65backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c4…da4dbacked No | 77c | 498$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 30c | 489.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4d…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 465.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…2809backed No | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.