TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c32…09df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2024, EST2475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+25%+$12.5
Colts vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+85.4%+$28.19
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+53.8%+$17.77
Jaguars vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Raiders vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+29.9%+$9.86
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$33
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+37%+$27.74
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+119.6%+$119.56
Panthers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Bills vs. Seahawksbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Packers vs. Jaguarsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$55
Panthers vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+59.2%+$29.59
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$272
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$534.22
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$990.82
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$13.67
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.9%+$419.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump in jail before inauguration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 4backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.