NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a2fc0c49e41df7510092574b52a650fb89bd9d404ede89f18ba2bed211be0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Capitals, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 8,400$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.46 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Hurricanes | 68c | 6,582$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.77 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Capitals | 35c | 5,194$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Capitals | 35c | 4,347$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Capitals | 10c | 3,100$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 3,099$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals | 38c | 2,566$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.08 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Hurricanes | 63c | 2,127$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.98 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Capitals | 35c | 2,067$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.32 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Hurricanes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…2e12backed Capitals | 33c | 1,997$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals | 40c | 1,983$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.21 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Capitals | 34c | 1,949$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.77 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Hurricanes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Capitals | 36c | 1,517$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,475$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.07 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Capitals | 35c | 1,381$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 35c | 1,344$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.13 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.82 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Capitals | 36c | 1,180$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,043$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hurricanes | 66c | 992.37$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Capitals | 10c | 924.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes | 63c | 829.21$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Capitals | 37c | 789.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Capitals | 37c | 670.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Hurricanes | 65c | 643.97$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.39 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 34c | 625.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 34c | 586.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Capitals | 40c | 583.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Hurricanes | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Capitals | 35c | 500.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 37c | 494$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…5c9bbacked Capitals | 34c | 470.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Hurricanes | 65c | 461.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…97fbbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 6c | 396.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 368$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes | 68c | 350$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Hurricanes | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 33c | 349.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Capitals | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 34c | 293.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Capitals | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 34c | 244.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 21c | 227.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…01d5backed Capitals | 39c | 224.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Capitals | 14c | 207.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 185.08$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Capitals | 39c | 156.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…8282backed Capitals | 34c | 151.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Hurricanes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Hurricanes | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…2d95backed Capitals | 34c | 142.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…4a9fbacked Capitals | 34c | 140.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…33d2backed Capitals | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…9164backed Capitals | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e6…4d8dbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 130.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Capitals | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1935backed Hurricanes | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 38c | 113.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad36…2cb1backed Capitals | 39c | 104$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…9787backed Hurricanes | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…6a08backed Capitals | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…04efbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ce9bbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…6437backed Capitals | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…a480backed Capitals | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…2c0ebacked Hurricanes | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…53eabacked Capitals | 39c | 101.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…6839backed Hurricanes | 61c | 101.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…7abdbacked Capitals | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5edfbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 101$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…8342backed Capitals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…40b7backed Capitals | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…e369backed Capitals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…7019backed Hurricanes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…cb53backed Capitals | 39c | 99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…d0c4backed Hurricanes | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…1196backed Capitals | 39c | 98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f91…2660backed Hurricanes | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Capitals | 35c | 97.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c4b2backed Capitals | 39c | 97.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…ef4abacked Hurricanes | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e05…63a4backed Hurricanes | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…7916backed Capitals | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…5b0abacked Capitals | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b8…9beebacked Hurricanes | 61c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…28eebacked Capitals | 39c | 96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…ddb3backed Capitals | 39c | 94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…3ebabacked Hurricanes | 61c | 94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…8437backed Capitals | 39c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…24c6backed Hurricanes | 61c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2d49backed Hurricanes | 61c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.