TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b65…c4b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: College Football, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category College Football at 50 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$32.99
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$38.4
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.56
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.06
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.63
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.96
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.17
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.4
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.23
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$20.65
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.78
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.64
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.89
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$30.36
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$34.32
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.1
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$340
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.04
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.46
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.08
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$52.5
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$71.44
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.22
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.05
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.39
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,943.21
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,013.11
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.41
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.05
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$20.94
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$22.11
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$25.57
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.44
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.39
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.9
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.7
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.82
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.62
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.68
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,187.53
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$417.5
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$686.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$705.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$694.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.