TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Panthers, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9a0…88eebacked Panthers58c21,782$12,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,717.0913845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Senators41c13,860$5,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,11217448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Senators44c8,795$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.8936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Senators42c7,031$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.8149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers54c6,102$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.651,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Panthers6c5,004$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2413348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Senators47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.9524546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators62c3,299$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.851,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…3589backed Panthers29c3,100$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers57c2,253$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.9584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers54c1,761$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.841,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e24…15e6backed Panthers55c1,505$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.751457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Senators45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8254242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers58c1,289$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.7979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Senators45c1,150$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.581,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…2ae1backed Senators45c1,034$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc80…6e40backed Panthers55c1,034$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers56c999.89$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.9730549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2d…56f6backed Panthers55c917$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08eb…50d6backed Senators45c917$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Panthers55c910$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.534845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5d…dbd2backed Senators45c866$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8055…5538backed Panthers55c866$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9056…df79backed Panthers55c855$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470f…400fbacked Senators45c855$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Panthers63c845.38$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5914844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e00…dd24backed Panthers55c763$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4e…5767backed Senators45c763$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x262c…9439backed Senators45c624$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.25100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43da…cb1abacked Panthers55c624$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Senators45c555.41$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.512853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers56c536$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers16c531.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.93,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators45c503$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Senators78c495.87$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.142445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Senators42c487$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4610627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Panthers55c360.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Panthers54c355.87$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1729748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c43…1f64backed Senators78c342$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Panthers22c342$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.241450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers13c302.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…775bbacked Senators46c269.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.571464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf13e…b804backed Panthers55c268$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…c08fbacked Senators45c268$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…01d8backed Panthers56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Senators44c260.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7720649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Panthers54c226.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.082536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Panthers27c222.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.499550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators48c210.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.291,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Panthers58c207$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Senators45c199.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1462…51efbacked Senators52c179$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7a…b24cbacked Panthers52c179$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.081020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b74…2bc1backed Panthers48c179$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.921127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x510a…cd0ebacked Senators48c179$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2256backed Senators50c178$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb062…2811backed Panthers50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2732…b41bbacked Senators45c168.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Senators45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Senators66c128.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.794156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Panthers20c127.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Senators41c110.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.026147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb99…19babacked Senators46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb690…221ebacked Panthers54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators47c106.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.131,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b9…1fd9backed Senators46c106$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a13…c6e7backed Panthers54c106$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers53c104.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Panthers57c104$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2620942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f6…3d6cbacked Panthers54c103$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc6…60bdbacked Senators46c103$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Panthers55c100.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.062759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Senators46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5435154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c58…83cbbacked Senators46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Panthers59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Senators45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x040c…0268backed Panthers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc8…138fbacked Panthers54c99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4424…0776backed Senators46c99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc24c…09f5backed Senators46c92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…346fbacked Panthers54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b2…30bcbacked Panthers56c91.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cc…e06abacked Senators46c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4321…e0a5backed Panthers54c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…48d1backed Panthers63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Panthers56c79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2420861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb060…cf53backed Panthers56c76.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…4617backed Panthers55c72.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043456%243 W · 191 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Panthers56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742c…61ffbacked Senators47c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb84e…5f30backed Panthers54c71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Panthers48c62.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Senators41c54.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0728440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Senators46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Panthers56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Panthers47c52.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.985145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c8f…d3ecbacked Panthers55c52.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…104dbacked Senators46c52.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Panthers58c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9748149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.