TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7f4…0336

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
336
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT11248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.04
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$39.02
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.38
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.38
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+184%+$41.03
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.86
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.38
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.38
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$31.62
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.45
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.39
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$17.34
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.66
Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.08
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$25.2
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+56.8%+$87.62
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.98
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$48
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Will Everton win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$36
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$21.71
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17.25
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$69.17
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+351.7%+$56.99
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.11
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+201%+$29.13
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$137.1
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.1
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$17.16
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.51
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.3
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$40.8
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.81
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.46
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+177.8%+$23.77
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$44.44
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2025, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180-189 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+1,233.3%+$185
Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 160-169 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+138.7%+$55.47
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.92
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+552.4%+$88.06
Will Kanye tweet between 500-549 times February 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Elon Musk tweet 500-549 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk tweet 450-499 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk tweet 400-449 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$20.67
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+375.1%+$55.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.73
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$44.24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+95%+$32.28
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.53
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.89
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.24
Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$13.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+195%+$198.51
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$59.42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.75
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$189.3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+424%+$201.39
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Rayo Vallecano reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.09
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.68
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+521.7%+$152.68
Will Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Otto Virtanen: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Iryna Shymanovich vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.08
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$22.82
Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.64
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a #1 seed lose in the Sweet 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.8
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$50.22
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.4
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.