NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348dfdb14af73f98540623e37abda3d869d5ca81bf4384b4dbf9e6feb9f7d9da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $957,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,030,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Timberwolves | 32c | 61,790$19,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,986 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 21c | 47,768$10,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,076.67 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Thunder | 76c | 30,690$23,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,288.43 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Thunder | 77c | 29,929$23,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,883.71 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Thunder | 77c | 25,547$19,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.66 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 26c | 22,947$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.86 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Timberwolves | 24c | 22,899$5,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,492.16 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Thunder | 65c | 20,945$13,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,330.78 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 76c | 20,000$15,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Thunder | 73c | 16,412$11,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.26 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 76c | 15,735$11,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.46 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Thunder | 72c | 14,579$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.28 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 66c | 13,323$8,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.93 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Timberwolves | 22c | 11,957$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.39 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Timberwolves | 34c | 10,714$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.9 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Timberwolves | 23c | 10,662$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.26 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves | 22c | 8,640$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.29 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 7,465$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.93 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Thunder | 79c | 6,324$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.33 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…f55ebacked Thunder | 76c | 6,000$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 32c | 5,067$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.85 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Timberwolves | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 4,447$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.58 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 76c | 4,081$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 24c | 4,072$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.17 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 76c | 3,999$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 68c | 3,935$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.81 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Thunder | 67c | 3,900$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Timberwolves | 11c | 3,750$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 22c | 3,490$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves | 24c | 3,088$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Timberwolves | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…0d2dbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 2,800$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 2,750$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 77c | 2,742$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.66 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Timberwolves | 31c | 2,671$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.35 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 7c | 2,610$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 24c | 2,589$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.81 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Thunder | 78c | 2,558$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.57 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 77c | 2,531$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.02 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Thunder | 76c | 2,529$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.96 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Thunder | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Thunder | 77c | 2,328$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.42 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,314$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 20c | 2,239$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 2,083$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.83 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…ef7bbacked Timberwolves | 15c | 2,007$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Thunder | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Timberwolves | 25c | 1,978$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 76c | 1,959$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.65 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Timberwolves | 13c | 1,904$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 76c | 1,840$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.87 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 1,800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 13c | 1,500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Thunder | 74c | 1,500$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…db11backed Timberwolves | 4c | 1,453$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Timberwolves | 27c | 1,390$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.2 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Thunder | 72c | 1,375$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 1,332$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Timberwolves | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Timberwolves | 7c | 1,227$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 1,208$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,173$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.03 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…4fb7backed Thunder | 66c | 1,132$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Timberwolves | 18c | 1,132$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Timberwolves | 22c | 1,109$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Timberwolves | 9c | 1,067$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 1,055$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked Timberwolves | 14c | 1,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Timberwolves | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 23c | 999.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Thunder | 72c | 995.04$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.37 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 946.11$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 76c | 933$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 910.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Thunder | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Thunder | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…51ccbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 837.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…14a2backed Timberwolves | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 830$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Timberwolves | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Timberwolves | 35c | 711.43$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…e9e0backed Timberwolves | 23c | 710.63$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 706.5$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 704.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Thunder | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 76c | 658$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…1f61backed Thunder | 77c | 615.58$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Timberwolves | 36c | 601.7$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 600.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Thunder | 62c | 598.39$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.39 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Timberwolves | 7c | 574.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 76c | 556.19$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Timberwolves | 25c | 540$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.