NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c62fa3a792f5b2a6de4e95f26fbf4074a3f2edbc9e0d7519d28d2ea1d137d07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 43c | 48,392$20,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,524.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 30,476$16,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,655.72 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 60c | 20,664$12,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,384.22 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 15,603$10,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,278.06 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 42c | 13,125$5,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.24 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 9,755$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 6,148$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.59 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bucks | 27c | 5,557$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.4 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 27c | 5,050$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.01 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 74c | 3,923$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.88 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 71c | 3,382$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.91 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,990$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,571$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves | 58c | 2,473$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.26 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…865ebacked Bucks | 27c | 2,387$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,200$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.98 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 2,123$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.38 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,002$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Bucks | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,725$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.4 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks | 29c | 1,628$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.87 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bucks | 40c | 1,348$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.99 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,347$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Bucks | 29c | 1,300$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,300$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…ba36backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Timberwolves | 77c | 1,290$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Bucks | 57c | 1,269$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,213$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 30c | 1,205$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.27 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bucks | 42c | 1,198$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,079$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.46 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 24c | 1,027$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.54 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Bucks | 29c | 1,000$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.66 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 73c | 999.97$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Bucks | 52c | 963.21$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Bucks | 21c | 950$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 930$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Bucks | 23c | 820.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks | 28c | 814.28$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.28 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Timberwolves | 79c | 800.6$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.02 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Timberwolves | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Bucks | 33c | 738.3$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 700.39$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.63 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Timberwolves | 75c | 670.42$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.82 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Timberwolves | 61c | 645.59$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.81 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Timberwolves | 69c | 626.94$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Bucks | 53c | 620.8$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bucks | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 27c | 604.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.2 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bucks | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 65c | 544.32$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Bucks | 52c | 446.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…4325backed Bucks | 31c | 439.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Timberwolves | 69c | 434.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 431.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.03 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 425.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bucks | 22c | 408.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 60c | 406.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.98 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 402.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Bucks | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Bucks | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Timberwolves | 35c | 357.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Bucks | 28c | 357.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.15 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8906…b442backed Timberwolves | 70c | 355$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ad65backed Bucks | 30c | 350$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Bucks | 30c | 333.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Timberwolves | 70c | 330.36$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Bucks | 24c | 320$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 309.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…5f6abacked Timberwolves | 71c | 294.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bucks | 28c | 289.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…6063backed Timberwolves | 71c | 281.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 254.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bucks | 26c | 249.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 76c | 241.42$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Bucks | 24c | 241.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 237.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 45c | 230.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…7a4dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 230$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…b88fbacked Bucks | 32c | 230$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…6c46backed Timberwolves | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.