TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d6…9858backed Over54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under46c5,186$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,425$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.491,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over11c2,326$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.2189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under56c1,761$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98012552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over53c1,741$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over51c1,551$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.754454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,519$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.872,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c1,315$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.471,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c1,160$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.012,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c912.63$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.532,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over57c852$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over49c817.91$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9119141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under43c499.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9916546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c460.21$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.937754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under48c460.21$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.913351.1%68 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Over55c371$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9519050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under63c365.26$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x68ee…ab3dbacked Under48c305$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ce…e2c3backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12927049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1d…c204backed Over53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c275.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.292,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…96edbacked Under48c270$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under50c259.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4756553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Over54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.748151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over47c236.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.917345.2%33 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3028…21e7backed Under46c224$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.851540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016253.7%87 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over48c206.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5334040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Over56c196.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.375349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over56c182.55$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5714140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over54c179.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7682353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over56c178.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.759654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over79c144.9$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over26c126.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c122.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.093,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…f5c7backed Over57c87.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over48c78.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.446167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under78c69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.829141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under46c69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7418941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bc…ec35backed Under47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.082142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over49c63.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4812763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under77c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.212146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb6…d56ebacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7210444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.542750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over41c48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5638447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over57c46.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9919141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c62…6573backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over32c38.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.352015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under43c36.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8433251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Under44c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Under44c35.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2548…b742backed Under79c35.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Under45c35.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.960449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under41c32.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.388757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under44c32.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3215651.9%81 W · 75 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Under76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Under44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Under77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…da99backed Under45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under69c29.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.613672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over54c27.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.935060%30 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Over36c27.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.653253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under43c26.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8748…8e93backed Over57c26.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.291070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.445735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under71c25.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over55c23.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6723559.1%139 W · 96 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over53c23.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0521651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under48c22.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.914456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under50c20.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2912161.2%74 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.614158.2%82 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8714743.5%64 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under73c14.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3451343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.