TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c62…6573

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.97
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$19.3
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.9
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.27
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.44
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.28
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.34
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$14.56
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.2
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$20.2
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49%+$13.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.87
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$34.45
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.29
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.33
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$12.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.25
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$24.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$34.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.