MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba8ddd51735dcff009c71a803e875f204c191f9b3b53d50bad6edf01b6152b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,641,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,728,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,641,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb84d…f821backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 511,393$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 311,491$183,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,779.48 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 286,715$122,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,637.5 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 130,383$56,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,275.97 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 128,301$73,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,131.61 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 97,480$56,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,538.4 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 76,965$30,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,619.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 60,000$24,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,399.98 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,700 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 23,006$13,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,343.29 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 19,013$7,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,253.97 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 18,089$10,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,298.2 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 16,665$9,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,974.44 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 14,356$7,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.02 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 12,563$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,035.39 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 12,309$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.54 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 10,373$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.66 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.93 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 9,879$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 9,463$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 8,874$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,648.27 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 8,546$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.97 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 6,522$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 6,137$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.35 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 6,122$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 4,990$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 4,970$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.91 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 4,955$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.33 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 4,880$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5d…75a8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,637$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,471$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 4,299$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,102$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.21 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 3,427$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.39 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 3,187$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.28 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,015$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 2,917$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 2,591$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 2,506$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.54 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,299$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.35 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,248$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.9 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,200$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 2,198$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 2,131$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,102$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.2 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 2,079$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,989$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.54 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,761$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,756$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.47 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 1,750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.43 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…78b5backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,692$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,648$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.57 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,627$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 1,613$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 28c | 1,599$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.45 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,571$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.46 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,477$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.76 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,306$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,222$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.28 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…b686backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,199$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 1,101$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 975.4$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 960.26$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.13 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 890.84$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.54 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 876.65$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 822.47$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.26 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…16dbbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 809.66$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 762.85$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 735.58$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.45 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 729.45$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 692.42$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155f…c517backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 682.32$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 674.13$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.13 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 631.26$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.91 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 626.59$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.42 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 620.83$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 600$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 565.43$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.06 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 535.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 519.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 512.17$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.82 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 494.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 481.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.3 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 462.77$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…c595backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 446.06$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 433.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 408.96$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.