MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa80fa2b4d757703aa531894bae557cd9a8f23a135dff51c0383d76bdf32740c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Over | 43c | 292,356$125,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,550.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 58c | 85,792$49,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,032.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 67,956$38,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,469.41 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 57c | 50,000$28,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,700 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 57c | 40,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 44c | 22,118$9,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.31 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 38c | 19,737$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,409.75 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under | 58c | 8,508$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 58c | 7,520$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed Under | 58c | 6,386$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 64c | 5,870$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.34 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 5,225$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.94 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 4,834$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.85 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 4,674$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 4,474$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…79ebbacked Under | 57c | 4,277$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 41c | 3,991$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.07 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 3,604$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.57 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Under | 58c | 3,588$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Over | 42c | 3,560$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 64c | 3,087$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.46 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 57c | 1,884$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.27 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 58c | 1,671$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.74 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 42c | 1,471$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.69 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 1,391$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.23 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 1,131$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.92 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 57c | 1,009$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.62 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 961.9$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.19 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 62c | 960.87$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.13 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 919.88$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 62c | 919.88$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 62c | 917.79$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.72 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 62c | 910.23$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.22 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 61c | 821.84$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.52 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 56c | 693.7$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 56c | 603.1$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 57c | 598.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…1ab9backed Over | 25c | 595.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 571.89$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Under | 58c | 551.79$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 67c | 499.41$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…acbebacked Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Under | 60c | 445.69$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 62c | 254.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…e521backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 57c | 225.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 58c | 223.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 206.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 58c | 184.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 42c | 154$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Over | 42c | 151.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 59c | 148.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…a62dbacked Under | 64c | 145.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 42c | 144.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 35c | 127.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 61c | 120.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 59c | 117.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Under | 57c | 105.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 35c | 101.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…1b06backed Over | 24c | 101.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 43c | 101.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 58c | 89.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 56c | 89.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 80c | 85.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 58c | 83.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…332dbacked Under | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…c6e4backed Over | 44c | 76.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9260…1068backed Under | 58c | 74.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 43c | 70.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…8f25backed Over | 25c | 68.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…861fbacked Over | 43c | 67.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 56.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Under | 58c | 50.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…83c6backed Over | 42c | 49.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 41c | 44.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 57c | 44.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…dda2backed Over | 43c | 43.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 44c | 43.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 44c | 43.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 44c | 43.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 44c | 43.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.