TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f3a…dda2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$25.41
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$14.16
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.02
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$20.94
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+120%+$29.52
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$24.53
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$33.26
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.03
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.84
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.15
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.01
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.42
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$19.98
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$19.18
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.71
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$12.52
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.19
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.03
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.19
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$27.37
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+655%+$150.13
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.28
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-65.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.05
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$8.62
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Norway to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+130.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.15
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.83
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+149.6%+$16.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sao Leopoldo: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Hugo Dellienbacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.