CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aba2d16931ccad47479af31d332bed4e30ba2c7b6af0d1554340abd33cf2324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Vitality, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 294,103$180,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,259.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Vitality | 39c | 272,041$105,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,971.08 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Vitality | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,999.95 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 98,182$58,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,273.31 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Vitality | 40c | 24,100$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Vitality | 40c | 18,075$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,230 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality | 40c | 6,190$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.13 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.94 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 44c | 5,064$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.11 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc584…fd07backed Vitality | 2c | 4,142$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Vitality | 40c | 3,989$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.73 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 3,795$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.18 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 64c | 3,694$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.55 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Vitality | 39c | 3,378$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.33 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Vitality | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…27c3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,258$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Vitality | 40c | 2,229$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.7 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Vitality | 38c | 2,200$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,995$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.24 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.17 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Vitality | 38c | 1,627$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.35 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Vitality | 61c | 1,624$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.65 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,584$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.93 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.93 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,575$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.33 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 1,453$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,368$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.87 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Vitality | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Vitality | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,121$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.07 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Vitality | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality | 52c | 954.88$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.6 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Vitality | 38c | 803.93$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 764.93$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.34 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Vitality | 38c | 760.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vitality | 39c | 741.28$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Team Falcons | 63c | 561.59$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 488.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 52c | 466.66$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…dc1bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 463.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Team Falcons | 38c | 446.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Vitality | 39c | 444.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Vitality | 38c | 405.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 52c | 399.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 395.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons | 61c | 393.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Vitality | 39c | 369.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…29a7backed Vitality | 39c | 366.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Team Falcons | 62c | 353.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 320.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Vitality | 36c | 299.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Vitality | 39c | 273.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 260.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Vitality | 38c | 254.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Vitality | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Vitality | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Vitality | 39c | 239.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Falcons | 62c | 230.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vitality | 34c | 229.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Team Falcons | 61c | 205.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 59c | 205.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality | 29c | 197.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Team Falcons | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Team Falcons | 58c | 192.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 186$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Team Falcons | 65c | 180.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 165.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 160.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Team Falcons | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 148.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked Vitality | 40c | 147.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Vitality | 38c | 146.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Team Falcons | 61c | 145.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Vitality | 51c | 143.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Vitality | 39c | 127.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed Vitality | 42c | 124.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…4b38backed Vitality | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Vitality | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Vitality | 39c | 119.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Vitality | 39c | 111.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vitality | 33c | 111.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Vitality | 37c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Vitality | 40c | 108.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…d16bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 107.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Vitality | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Vitality | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Vitality | 40c | 98.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 65c | 95.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…18dfbacked Vitality | 51c | 94.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Team Falcons | 57c | 94.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…ddd3backed Vitality | 53c | 86.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 85.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.