TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd87…ac38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10047%47 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,968.72
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$523.96
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.17
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+106%+$2,166.44
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+274.1%+$4,589.49
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$3,441.81
Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+101%+$1,469.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.97
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,301.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$705.89
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,461Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$1,111.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.66
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,476.13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,814Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,370.95
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.55
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,435.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.57
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.65
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445.48
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+174.5%+$2,277.93
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$677.82
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.81
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.08
Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osakabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,488.28
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$783.8
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$222.92
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+328.6%+$4,928.57
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$375.9
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$1,367.21
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+89.9%+$1,419.99
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+80%+$759.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+153%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.71
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,920.37
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,219.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+167.2%+$1,672.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,072.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.