TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Shevchenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Auger-Aliassimeof Felix Auger-Aliassime, Alexander Shevchenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa266…67f7backed Alexander Shevchenko6c15,569$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Alexander Shevchenko5c5,005$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.261,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Alexander Shevchenko5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Alexander Shevchenko7c4,131$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Alexander Shevchenko7c3,211$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4738911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Alexander Shevchenko1c1,846$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9826355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alexander Shevchenko4c1,446$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.412,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Alexander Shevchenko7c863.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2154634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Alexander Shevchenko3c773.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5515151.7%78 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexander Shevchenko3c737.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.148,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Alexander Shevchenko4c568.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514039.3%55 W · 85 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Alexander Shevchenko6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Alexander Shevchenko6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Alexander Shevchenko5c344$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.263537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Alexander Shevchenko7c242$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9472638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Alexander Shevchenko7c228.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.732,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Alexander Shevchenko5c228.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4252910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.