CS2 · resolved market
Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43bb5dcb17b2a2a0b236701f83bc28e34b952054ccc7d94575ba70e90353c506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50ac…a924backed No | 75c | 6,136$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.61 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Yes | 9c | 5,606$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.7 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Yes | 24c | 4,976$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.19 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Yes | 29c | 4,946$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 73c | 3,390$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.18 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 73c | 2,117$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 29c | 1,674$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Yes | 7c | 1,560$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed Yes | 21c | 1,446$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,301$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed No | 72c | 1,200$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Yes | 6c | 1,097$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…3862backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Yes | 20c | 998.01$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 30c | 959.69$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed No | 70c | 813.15$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 7c | 798.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 6c | 678.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…f21bbacked Yes | 6c | 645.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…6205backed Yes | 10c | 549.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Yes | 20c | 467.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 430$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…8c0abacked Yes | 34c | 425.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 24c | 422.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Yes | 23c | 392.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes | 27c | 390.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Yes | 22c | 367.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Yes | 13c | 327.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 8c | 327.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 6c | 318.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd53…25e7backed Yes | 6c | 314.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 25c | 295.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Yes | 11c | 291.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 290.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 289.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 11c | 278.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…1c90backed Yes | 8c | 258.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed No | 76c | 258.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…09bdbacked Yes | 12c | 223.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 25c | 223.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…d93ebacked No | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…537cbacked Yes | 25c | 189.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 25c | 188.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…e69abacked Yes | 28c | 175.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed Yes | 9c | 172.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 73c | 165.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Yes | 26c | 161.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…fe60backed Yes | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…4e59backed Yes | 11c | 150.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes | 15c | 147.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…0cccbacked Yes | 26c | 143.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…a3f7backed Yes | 29c | 132.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 29c | 125.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed No | 66c | 122.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…e558backed Yes | 10c | 118.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 16c | 116.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…e3d1backed Yes | 11c | 110.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 15c | 108.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…51a0backed Yes | 11c | 105.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Yes | 23c | 105.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 100.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…d057backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…d6c9backed Yes | 29c | 98.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 28c | 95.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b840backed Yes | 12c | 92.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 71c | 88.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…ee8dbacked Yes | 25c | 75.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…5f4fbacked Yes | 29c | 73.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7035…4c47backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…0376backed Yes | 24c | 68.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Yes | 29c | 66.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…93cfbacked Yes | 23c | 64.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed No | 74c | 64.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…0416backed Yes | 16c | 63.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…cf66backed Yes | 29c | 62.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…4da1backed Yes | 23c | 62.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…7c88backed Yes | 33c | 62.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…2ef5backed Yes | 24c | 60.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a22…8ce0backed Yes | 34c | 56.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…0e4abacked Yes | 25c | 56.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 53.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 52.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…3192backed Yes | 28c | 50.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…4ddfbacked Yes | 30c | 48.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 42.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 73c | 30.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will G2 win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Gentle Mates win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will HOTU win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Passion UA win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will RED Canids win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.