CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5b57b945bc0b7717aad0fde2ec98ea3cc788ff64bacd622c7244d42cb23e9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,937$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.14 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Yes | 3c | 2,744$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 2,246$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 4c | 2,054$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Yes | 5c | 2,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 3c | 1,346$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 8c | 1,202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…39a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,048$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 3c | 800.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 4c | 750.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91da…1bc1backed Yes | 5c | 591.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Yes | 7c | 466.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed Yes | 3c | 405.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed Yes | 6c | 397.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…09c2backed Yes | 3c | 369.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked Yes | 8c | 236.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will G2 win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Gentle Mates win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will HOTU win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Passion UA win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will RED Canids win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.