TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cf7…294a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8536.5%31 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$380.54
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$136
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.24
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+258.6%+$2,605.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.86
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$1,300.98
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$767.1
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.39
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$2,526.61
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$1,504.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$316.47
Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104%+$312.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.94
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Stray Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$86.7
Dota 2: Stray Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.72
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.01
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$222.41
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$94.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+39%+$38.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.54
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs VooDooSh Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked VooDooSh Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.37
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.44
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+479.7%+$1,582.18
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$110.08
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$626.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.95
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.8
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$152.03
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.84
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207.4
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$186.3
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.2
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.55
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.18
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.65
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.13
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.23
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.15
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$58.41
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.46
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$92.87
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$36.14
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$51.19
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+166%+$497.87
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+50%+$33.33
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$424.57
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,060.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,083.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+293.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+293.1%+$594.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked Cheddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.