CS2 · resolved market

Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b815258788ae70d1e472871ce2b0ab3e6276d9a0f7691b8a523728323225671

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed No	4c	3,428$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.73	108	35.2%38 W · 70 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	2c	913.73$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Yes	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	38c	509.41$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.68	1,089	50.9%554 W · 535 L	+38.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked No	62c	406.9$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.24	594	45.8%272 W · 322 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked No	3c	363.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	35c	174$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.27	261	34.5%90 W · 171 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	12c	124.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	160	23.8%38 W · 122 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked No	63c	105.6$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.71	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	40c	105.08$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.05	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Yes	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed Yes	26c	67.32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.64	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes	28c	47.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed Yes	78c	22.6$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.09	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	61c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.83	2,474	24.7%611 W · 1,863 L	-316.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event