TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,674 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e5e…7315backed No3c10,001$260 inLost-$260.0222943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No5c5,719$266 inLost-$266.1829127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked No5c4,977$249 inLost-$2491,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c1,593$60 inLost-$60.281,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No3c1,425$40 inLost-$40.4700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No3c1,114$35 inLost-$34.6525934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No5c967.46$46 inLost-$45.931717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No3c860.24$24 inLost-$23.73759.3%7 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed No3c700$18 inLost-$18.514332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e42…5856backed No5c696.79$35 inLost-$358929.2%26 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No5c432.19$20 inLost-$20.25375.4%2 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ee…801bbacked No4c310.4$14 inLost-$13.94744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed No6c242.68$15 inLost-$15323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a327backed No6c205.65$13 inLost-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked No5c200$10 inLost-$1049651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No5c199.21$10 inLost-$10.18283.6%1 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-83.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.