CS2 · resolved market

Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59604c0c3ffc9450c96630e6cb665be97da36ae3b7f3400da8a349955dc4254

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,581 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb373…d97cbacked No	61c	1,221$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.01	587	45.5%267 W · 320 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Yes	42c	619.65$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.38	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed No	55c	614.33$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.03	559	41%229 W · 330 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No	49c	595.25$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.58	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Yes	25c	559.59$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.71	242	62%150 W · 92 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	43c	551.25$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.17	86	14%12 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Yes	49c	467.68$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.93	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	33c	349.69$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.78	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x703f…ba86backed No	58c	329.64$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.45	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+109.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed No	55c	317.86$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.22	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes	30c	277.76$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.15	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	42c	236.36$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.27	84	19%16 W · 68 L	-9.5wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf5d…3d10backed Yes	41c	236.21$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	56c	222$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.68	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Yes	44c	204.39$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.18	496	51.2%254 W · 242 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f47…6cf8backed Yes	46c	196.1$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.21	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e42…609fbacked Yes	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	62c	190.75$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	107	35.5%38 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes	35c	172.28$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.74	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f6…f490backed No	62c	161.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.71	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Yes	41c	146.4$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.02	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2f…61eebacked Yes	36c	108$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.67	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee6b…e9d8backed No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes	37c	81.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	754	50.5%381 W · 373 L	+17.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes	69c	72.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f77…8ca9backed Yes	34c	59.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	57c	58.25$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Yes	35c	57.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	148	51.4%76 W · 72 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	146	61.6%90 W · 56 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed No	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	43c	51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	67cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x330f…8adabacked No	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+80.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfaa…2eacbacked Yes	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	39c	45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	60c	45$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.05	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Yes	50c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	182	61%111 W · 71 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae15…4998backed Yes	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	47c	38.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	70c	37.86$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.37	33	81.8%27 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	73cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Yes	45c	37.78$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	471	46.7%220 W · 251 L	+14.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed No	61c	34.65$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	544	39.7%216 W · 328 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…7a11backed Yes	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event