CS2 · resolved market

Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c567e932004af9021885446d5b57619bb48361f647aeb5ebe58f161f6161f3b

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,251 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	32c	5,985$1,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,090.41	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No	75c	5,000$3,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,750	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	54c	4,043$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,873.13	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No	15c	386.67$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	259	34%88 W · 171 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	51c	314.38$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.79	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes	24c	313$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.01	559	41%229 W · 330 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes	16c	309.38$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.37	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed No	37c	296$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	218	48.6%106 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1111…1f86backed No	80c	265.27$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.22	71	67.6%48 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Yes	61c	249.99$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.5	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2f…61eebacked No	77c	200$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.67	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f6…f490backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	8c	176$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	75	9.3%7 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	10c	164.18$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.76	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9118…4db8backed Yes	16c	162.11$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.11	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+76.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No	79c	156.11$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.66	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Yes	22c	150$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	333	54.4%181 W · 152 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	13c	143.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No	75c	120$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	76c	104.17$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes	15c	103.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.63	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+322.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No	10c	101$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	29c	100.69$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	146	61.6%90 W · 56 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f47…6cf8backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf845…b82fbacked No	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca41…3af9backed Yes	57c	79.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.39	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	59c	56.46$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.98	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No	41c	44.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked No	52c	40.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	198	49.5%98 W · 100 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc56…e7e1backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	33c	34.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x50d6…f94abacked Yes	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	85	60%51 W · 34 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event