CS2 · resolved market

Will MOUZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c1d08e2ec0e62e1d3e7f3c6cad321ce26316312bdbbec817904680494d1d1c

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,243 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f69…7df1backed No	51c	3,889$1,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,916.06	754	50.5%381 W · 373 L	+17.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	49c	1,576$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.07	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yes	49c	1,110$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.7	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Yes	49c	1,095$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.32	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked No	52c	309.34$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.37	277	49.5%137 W · 140 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	36c	250$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Yes	65c	200$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	587	45.5%267 W · 320 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	84	19%16 W · 68 L	-9.5wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	48c	126.5$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.87	107	35.5%38 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed No	68c	107.48$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.39	140	42.1%59 W · 81 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	10c	101$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…570bbacked No	56c	62.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	155	57.4%89 W · 66 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed No	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	21c	51$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.29	75	9.3%7 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2f…61eebacked Yes	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes	43c	45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Yes	58c	42.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	120	41.7%50 W · 70 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked No	43c	41.94$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.07	86	14%12 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0446…cc69backed No	54c	38.78$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+160.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	368	46.7%172 W · 196 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	59c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed Yes	50c	23.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-6.1wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Yes	49c	23.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e9…cde3backed No	56c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	67c	22.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed No	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	74c	17.28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will MOUZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event