CS2 · resolved market

Will Falcons qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0c605a16b45602fda6f3a6d024c1e570f1d2e3512fd4b09ae4d51e38234eaf

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6727…2ac7backed No	47c	148.98$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.47	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No	20c	126.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e42…609fbacked Yes	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No	10c	101$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x981d…ed7fbacked Yes	76c	99.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	42c	95.6$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.45	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50d6…f94abacked Yes	79c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	85	60%51 W · 34 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2f…61eebacked Yes	77c	35.4$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.14	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	79c	19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.98	33	81.8%27 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	73cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	79c	13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.73	107	35.5%38 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Falcons qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event