CS2 · resolved market
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc69655a745ee87aad6379e33447f8e69bbe89e0e52452f9f1117358ebe82272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 61c | 701.54$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 32c | 680.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.59 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 28c | 630.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.74 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked No | 49c | 612.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.14 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 15c | 546.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed No | 14c | 436.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.37 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…e4a3backed Yes | 50c | 387.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked No | 18c | 300.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 52c | 275.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…11ddbacked Yes | 70c | 262$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed No | 45c | 198.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed No | 35c | 192.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed No | 43c | 116.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked No | 27c | 107$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 102.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 218 | 22%48 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 36c | 96.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 96.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Yes | 58c | 96.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc349…82d7backed No | 18c | 91.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +469.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 58c | 70.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…2c62backed No | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…d9a6backed No | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc45f…ec1abacked Yes | 70c | 28.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…22e6backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 58c | 18.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?this page
- Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will Astralis qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Aurora qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will B8 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will BIG qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will FURIA qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Falcons qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will FlyQuest qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will GamerLegion qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will HEROIC qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Lynn Vision qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will M80 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will MOUZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Monte qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will PARIVISION qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will TYLOO qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Team Liquid qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Team Spirit qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Thunder downunder qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
- Will Vitality qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?Yes won
- Will paiN qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.