TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc349…82d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
23
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$12.77
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.72
Will Morocco win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Will Leandro Trossard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will Darwin Nunez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$20.41
Will Saudi Arabia finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$27.74
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.97
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+469.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+469.9%+$75.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FUT Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.