Will Leandro Trossard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb982168d865c7ae5a391194d217dbe192001e9e1eddafb7791048f0f9bb10caa

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,816 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb437…cfb3backed No	47c	598.1$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.36	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	36c	445$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.77	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	63c	367$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.37	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	57c	228.53$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.64	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa208…20a2backed Yes	53c	160.4$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.39	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	20c	116.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	64c	114.67$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.39	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No	43c	104.65$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	42c	102.45$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.11	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e9…184ebacked Yes	65c	84.45$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.45	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes	66c	78.96$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.85	259	45.2%117 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No	49c	75.98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.38	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Yes	80c	75.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.33	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-8.9wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked No	60c	70$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.74	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	58c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…57c8backed No	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	57c	54.65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	62c	53.13$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.19	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd19…6910backed Yes	66c	53.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ee…a423backed Yes	44c	50.78$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	39c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.33	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	46c	45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.3	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	34c	42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes	56c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	104	36.5%38 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	58c	39.52$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc349…82d7backed No	40c	38.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	70c	38.61$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.58	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	35c	37.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	59c	35.45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.42	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	72c	35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	59c	27.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	51c	25.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.34	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes	66c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	67c	22.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed No	58c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc318…d82abacked Yes	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xeb2d…35f8backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330f…8adabacked Yes	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes	73c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	63c	16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.92	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Leandro Trossard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event