Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa22b5109b6dd95667596a0b664eeba8b3ed74e355212717c3ec97896603dbb

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes	12c	957$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.92	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	14c	600$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	17c	465.73$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	14c	438.09$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.08	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa022…72c2backed Yes	17c	277.68$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.74	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	15c	155$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	15c	155$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x27cc…3b96backed Yes	17c	123.66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes	16c	111$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	19c	107.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5044…ae88backed Yes	15c	99.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33be…adc8backed Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397f…c0edbacked Yes	19c	51.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event