Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2d3456f5b1cf7896fdbb057306eb42aaedd27f8f174665f7cee617fbc67fa6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,772 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	19c	3,490$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,843.5	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed No	76c	2,191$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660.26	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4de7…1982backed No	79c	999.97$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.98	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bff…3709backed No	12c	833.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	32c	818.58$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.34	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	18c	695.88$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.42	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0137…b186backed Yes	16c	642.54$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.54	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	22c	599.99$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.99	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	79c	566.63$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.39	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…3051backed Yes	77c	510.62$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.44	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed No	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	17c	347.93$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.19	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	22c	316.85$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.56	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	77c	316.33$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.81	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked No	67c	300.48$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	34c	299.26$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.51	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	19c	287$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.57	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	71c	217.92$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.68	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	70c	201.86$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.41	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	25c	200$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	40c	165.55$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.73	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	24c	164.34$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.45	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed Yes	32c	158.76$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.96	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda68…d77fbacked Yes	73c	155$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	65c	155$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.15	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	74c	150$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	30c	139.82$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.45	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…5d02backed Yes	25c	118.75$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.75	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+5.5wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	70c	106.82$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.34	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	46c	100.44$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.86	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	68c	99.98$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.98	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	20c	95.37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.75	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No	58c	84.48$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked No	12c	84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7db…569dbacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.33	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	30c	83.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab19…3b87backed No	19c	80$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	74c	75$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3d…6542backed Yes	75c	73.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Yes	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	223	43.9%98 W · 125 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	46c	69.86$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.14	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…0331backed Yes	69c	69.81$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.81	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	30c	69.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.81	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	75c	66.32$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cec…809ebacked No	78c	64.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfebf…543ebacked Yes	21c	64.14$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked No	16c	64.08$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	77c	57.49$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.22	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	33c	55.48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No	76c	52.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	238	58%138 W · 100 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	34c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1281…d8c2backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+83.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	48c	44.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.34	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No	80c	43.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.63	70	67.1%47 W · 23 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	25c	43.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes	42c	41.27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	74c	41.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.7	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	68c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	75c	38.15$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.53	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb81…22d4backed Yes	50c	36.38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.19	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+4.2wins	+0.33per pick	44cpaid	+91%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x224a…b969backed Yes	39c	33.67$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.54	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7597…5f01backed Yes	75c	33.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.26	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd5…5551backed No	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.5wins	+0.32per pick	50cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	37c	29.23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed No	63c	26.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No	50c	25.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	100	53%53 W · 47 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe6…2769backed No	78c	25.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	73c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c1…28f3backed Yes	73c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No	50c	23.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes	69c	21.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.71	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed No	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed No	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	113	29.2%33 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb6…3927backed No	80c	18.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed No	62c	18.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…20c4backed Yes	68c	16.18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.18	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes	66c	16.17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	71c	15.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	78c	13.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event