Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0559c28f8e3b4e499ea130b3ddef0f3a4506a34f5732fe77ad99fb99096939

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,233 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	60c	2,002$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.99	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked No	1c	1,802$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	54c	1,626$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.76	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	39c	1,252$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.18	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	72c	1,059$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.36	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204c…1e26backed No	32c	790$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	30c	691.96$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.31	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	78c	638.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	23c	568.84$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.7	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	61c	521.4$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.37	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed No	36c	500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked No	36c	499.99$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked No	70c	428.01$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	46c	374.38$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.98	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	67c	333$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.21	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	34c	287.01$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.91	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	47c	278.48$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.14	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	11c	276.8$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.07	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Yes	20c	274.66$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.98	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	54c	272.04$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.46	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c01…7cafbacked Yes	64c	264$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.44	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fdf…47c6backed Yes	23c	250.32$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.32	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	10c	204.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.66	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	52c	196.75$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.89	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Yes	40c	175.83$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.19	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No	52c	155$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.6	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	66c	149.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.5	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No	37c	148.65$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	80c	146.51$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.21	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	68c	140.51$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.96	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	130.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.29	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de5…e874backed Yes	62c	130$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes	64c	128$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.43	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	71c	124.82$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.04	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	27c	120.32$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	29c	115.23$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.42	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x264f…cd38backed No	46c	114.41$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.57	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	52c	114$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.92	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	56c	112.57$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.42	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed Yes	64c	110$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked No	73c	101.37$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…d5b2backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…6a8ebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+159%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	34c	99.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	55c	99.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.99	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33e9…7a9fbacked Yes	65c	98.68$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	26c	87.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.76	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked Yes	26c	83.2$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.57	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e693backed No	32c	77.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	58c	74.44$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.38	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…2759backed Yes	64c	71.96$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.96	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	67c	71.48$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.01	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes	32c	71$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.25	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	19c	70.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.32	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca7…9567backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes	27c	62.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.62	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	28c	60$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cce…6681backed Yes	63c	55.56$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.56	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	65c	55.49$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.63	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	70c	53.71$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	22c	52.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.86	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Yes	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	27c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.5	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c89…0057backed Yes	67c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe13f…2d85backed No	40c	49.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	42cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	63c	46$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.02	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	39c	42.05$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.65	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87d6…551abacked No	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Yes	64c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes	73c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	67c	33.79$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5118…6dd3backed Yes	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300c…333fbacked Yes	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea8…65a7backed Yes	68c	29.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.62	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae0…9000backed No	80c	25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+87.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	67c	22.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.26	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	50c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d43…80acbacked Yes	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	65cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	61c	19.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes	65c	19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.65	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb326…d18bbacked Yes	68c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event