TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cf8…7f09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT14052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$382.82
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$234.6
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vlasto Cepo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.81
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$74.43
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Muhammad Said · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$100.2
UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$118.8
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$33.45
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.09
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.98
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$759
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.45
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.14
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$61.2
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$124.08
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+70%+$279.54
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.98
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.84
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.38
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.45
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+136%+$130.82
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Manchester City vs. Al Ain: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.78
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$91.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$47.61
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+53.8%+$45.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$177
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.2
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.