TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes36c34,374$12,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,501.4318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No65c18,342$11,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,407.2711657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No64c13,937$8,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.2840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No64c8,004$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.829037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No66c7,919$5,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.0414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94cf…3db3backed Yes34c5,171$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No65c5,101$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.442429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes35c5,014$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.9268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No66c4,997$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.956253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed No68c4,876$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.742846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes22c3,435$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.7129643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes35c2,671$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.818259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No65c1,970$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.818362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes36c1,408$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes17c1,267$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.562634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes30c1,173$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2517234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No62c1,090$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes36c1,012$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.064637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No66c999.96$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes33c858$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.143946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No64c799.97$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.994963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes8c774.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked No65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes28c700$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No64c689.6$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.265453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No70c688.82$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.832653.8%14 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No68c644.53$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2516848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…fe86backed Yes35c642.49$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0585…cfccbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Yes32c515$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.82142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3912…c081backed Yes15c486.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.03520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d71…1ceebacked Yes35c484.09$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes5c421$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes36c419.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No64c407.44$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes14c400$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes32c400$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12915554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d1…160fbacked Yes34c399.09$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6980…a328backed Yes24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84258%2 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked No66c304$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e32…2ec3backed Yes36c296.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes8c287.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+301.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf6…63a7backed No66c266.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes41c263.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Yes35c257.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes14c249.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aad…ef81backed Yes36c236.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa78e…9ba9backed Yes36c231.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes35c230.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes37c222$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1417143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes36c221.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.92536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Yes36c180.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf1…58a9backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf97…4921backed Yes35c151.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xacf2…2929backed Yes35c145.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeee…c5c4backed No67c144.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2d…bd76backed Yes40c140.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes37c135.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.735450%27 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x604d…3cedbacked Yes36c130.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfef…ce5ebacked Yes40c124.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-67.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39a2…a50dbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682a…4b62backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf59…bb65backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af8…bac0backed Yes32c97.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b7…63f1backed Yes19c95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f53…9ccabacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No74c83.51$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.321463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes34c79.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.022934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c4…b33bbacked Yes40c77.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d19…7cafbacked Yes34c75.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6660…c423backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…b3a9backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a7…ebdfbacked No66c72.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.73977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf17f…43e5backed Yes34c72.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec2…ab4abacked No67c72.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2877…2f89backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9c…e8a3backed Yes40c69.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.