Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de47aa9fb9bdc85a558d1b796f7d1f69b8ebb7d25b9ac135762a4b17da616e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 24c | 4,640$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.22 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 24c | 2,029$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.95 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 28c | 1,759$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 14c | 1,515$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 76c | 1,204$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.95 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 76c | 894.55$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed No | 76c | 467.61$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 458$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 74c | 412.95$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 24c | 222$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 199.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 25c | 160.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 25c | 145.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 25c | 119.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 32c | 108.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed No | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a50dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Yes | 24c | 86.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…2fafbacked Yes | 30c | 54.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0ffcbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked No | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.