TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07f6…2ed5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST7825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$820.13
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$230
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$526.88
Will Chelsea vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+1,150%+$952.2
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$270
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$200.84
Will West Ham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$241.5
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$99.99
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Bournemouth vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$499.84
Will Fulham vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$1,391
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Southampton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+284.6%+$540.77
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$110
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$700
Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$97
Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.9%+$120.4
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$46.95
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+92.5%+$1,347.47
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+120.4%+$36.13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+103.9%+$83.15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+147.6%+$174.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$67.35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.42
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$189.69
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$97.51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100.8%+$335.58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+171%+$34.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.39
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will the match between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Girona beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Will Benfica beat AS Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+614.3%+$860
Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$240
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+88.7%+$470
Will the match between Liverpool and Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$240
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Will the match between Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$90
Will the match between Sporting CP and Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$290
Will the match between Inter Milan and RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Feyenoord beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will RB Leipzig beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$130
Will the match between Bayern Munich and Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will the match between Club Brugge and Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+49.3%+$12.44
Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$590
Will the match between Sporting CP and Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+445.2%+$445.24
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Besiktas beat Bodo Glimt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will the match between Bodo Glimt and Besiktas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$106
Will Ajax beat Lazio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Fenerbahce beat Athletic Bilbao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$479.99
Will Fenerbahce beat Slavia Praha?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+900%+$900
Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$230
Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$80
Will the match between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+257.1%+$900
Will Porto beat Lazio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$46
Will the match between Lazio and Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$138
Will the match between Manchester United and PAOK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will the match between Ludogorets and Athletic Bilbao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$66
Will the match between Galatasaray and Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Ludogorets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+111.3%+$389.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+184.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sam Altman in jail by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.