TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes56c4,898$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.317739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No45c2,500$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38013219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes7c2,494$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8537.5%4 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes52c2,450$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.8914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d44…11d5backed No50c2,046$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Yes38c1,615$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+184.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No47c1,407$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.131040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5404134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6e75backed No50c930$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4651346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Yes50c875.73$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No48c857.11$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc35…0ba7backed No44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…a62cbacked Yes30c612.01$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.36540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+279.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes68c593.71$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0812523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes22c560.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No43c560.37$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes54c556.06$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes65c530.21$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.255959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab33…7d21backed No45c515.94$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.77650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+424.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f35…7594backed Yes50c502.51$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No44c399.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9920843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes63c399.66$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a3…960fbacked Yes39c380.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f07…cd71backed Yes66c375.64$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed No53c375.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.446136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes61c374$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No37c296.17$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.644551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed No53c293.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.765733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc2…1c35backed No45c280$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed Yes35c277.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked No38c262.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588c…ca21backed Yes37c254.81$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1af…d889backed Yes20c235.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked No52c232.19$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.192035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab39…268fbacked Yes49c216$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc073…aee2backed No51c216$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes47c215.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.761030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf85…acc4backed No44c207.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e9…5fb8backed Yes54c199.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Yes30c190.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…0eeabacked Yes64c172.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No46c156.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.965251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee1…88bbbacked Yes58c136.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…92debacked Yes59c136.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c14…a8f2backed Yes37c135.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c93…7645backed No75c129.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2835…a1aabacked Yes13c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c1…642ebacked No56c119.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7597…a3d7backed Yes63c113.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0494…addebacked Yes11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d91…863dbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…d0c5backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58bf…040abacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f98…8436backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b3…2372backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c6…78f9backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked Yes50c97.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x717f…61a6backed Yes56c91.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…a45abacked No44c89.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975e…3b74backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes53c84.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e24…2ecabacked No46c82.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…403dbacked Yes57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed Yes24c68.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.522657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked No60c66.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.48714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72fd…7e92backed Yes36c61.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+155.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf926…536cbacked Yes52c61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+276.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6c…287cbacked No43c59.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x911e…5de1backed Yes23c56.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd866…d76bbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ba…bb94backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b03…65b0backed Yes56c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb8…f6fcbacked Yes58c49.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff4…0f6bbacked No43c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a5…b96dbacked No55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e7…51acbacked No63c44.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed No46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf631…e20fbacked No50c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa953…be4dbacked Yes55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes58c39.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.975154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d00…d499backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9832…d24bbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82f…b493backed No46c34.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…fa27backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed No45c33.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd9…c512backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5180…b344backed Yes54c33.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d3…6cadbacked Yes73c32.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7a…7dedbacked Yes35c32.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1170%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9024…fcdbbacked Yes64c31.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3429…2323backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c72…8eb4backed Yes56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd7…95f6backed No44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+88.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d95…b0a8backed Yes67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d09…ddc6backed Yes53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.