F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae7b0125531d32b61c9f8ea0e03a6323be12a534787425924e5cf198d7949d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 7,099$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…960fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,955$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 9c | 1,097$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…b49ebacked Yes | 21c | 922.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 14c | 834.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 14c | 689.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…6e75backed Yes | 15c | 661.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 3c | 540$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…a1aabacked Yes | 4c | 363.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 14c | 256.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 13c | 216.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…0eeabacked Yes | 27c | 186.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…7a40backed Yes | 7c | 137.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 14c | 132$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes | 14c | 123.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Yes | 22c | 113.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…ca21backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7684backed Yes | 20c | 72.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.