F1 · resolved market
Will another driver win the Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe498d606c561c688e34bf2f08d3f6bc77007f0e64c2b9ad09f394824ef98350f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 5,177$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed Yes | 10c | 2,254$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f9bdbacked Yes | 43c | 962.75$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 9c | 931.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 4c | 599.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…7a40backed Yes | 4c | 406.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…ca21backed Yes | 4c | 374.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…2323backed Yes | 14c | 285.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…b49ebacked No | 79c | 282.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 31c | 201.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2a…d3a9backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 7c | 165.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 12c | 137.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 67c | 135.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes | 28c | 122.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…88bbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…a012backed Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…92debacked Yes | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…076bbacked Yes | 30c | 50.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…5f83backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…18e1backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bcbcbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another driver win the Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.