TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf70c…72c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST4415.9%7 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,284.4
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,560.1
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,412.37
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$88.02
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+275.5%+$1,388
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$334.09
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$939.43
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$163.14
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,657.79
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.67
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$526.13
Saints vs. Bearsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$418.04
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+300%+$615.01
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,075
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$922.14
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.25
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.75
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.95
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$203.27
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$940.53
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$943.54
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.88
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$365
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$350.48
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$79.44
Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 30 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.61
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.09
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.75
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.76
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.87
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+490.8%+$3,062.87
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$56
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.28
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,404.22
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.5
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+226.3%+$3,907.44
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,872.81
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607.28
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$946.12
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$417.84
Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublikbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$635.18
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,596.52
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$486.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+168.5%+$3,741.88
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$190.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,562Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+173.1%+$4,434.93
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.2
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.02
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.77
Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$350
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,480
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+223.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+259.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$852.07
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+37%+$269.99
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$323.84
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,328Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+79.6%+$1,057
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+223.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+201.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.09
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another driver win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,675.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,382.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.