TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes42c1,146$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5322054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes41c1,037$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.8236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No58c999.96$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9819645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…f4efbacked No57c973.96$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b77…449fbacked Yes39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d74…b1ffbacked No58c799.19$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d5…0121backed Yes42c799.19$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No59c738$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.394143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9fc…57e9backed Yes39c604.21$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No62c602.33$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8917658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No66c528.28$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7312359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc103…81e8backed Yes38c511.11$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.22633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…f9a6backed No59c491.03$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.78366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes41c484.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8416836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebe…9d61backed Yes43c467.21$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Yes33c460.26$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8960%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes37c444.83$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No61c403.41$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.769244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11112862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes40c232.32$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.288433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c230.58$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes40c214.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9424742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No64c159$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.242313%3 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No61c132.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745d…bcf3backed Yes45c130.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21c…0beabacked No58c123.6$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No76c116.11$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2830754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4110743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65cc…b944backed Yes45c95.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd74…8afebacked No58c93.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes38c74.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80c5…168abacked Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.353560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cd…8689backed Yes42c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a2…6c31backed No58c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.486100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+149.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf211…5ffcbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061d…85c9backed Yes41c40.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…4d71backed No59c40.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a0e…b118backed No58c38.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced5…9a6dbacked No58c38.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe107…4d7bbacked No59c37.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…0697backed Yes41c36.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d3…2425backed Yes42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…adb3backed Yes42c35.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e07…7971backed Yes41c33.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d8…d2debacked No58c31.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef9…9859backed Yes41c31.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e26…5a48backed No58c30.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…987ebacked No58c28.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a34…bfc0backed Yes41c28.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…2bd5backed No58c27.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b3…6537backed No58c27.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a19…0cc1backed Yes42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe514…e255backed No58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830e…4fcebacked Yes42c26.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5f…8bf6backed Yes43c25.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e4…4308backed No58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe22…7839backed Yes42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2621…77e0backed No58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ed…4adebacked Yes42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc8…c48ebacked Yes42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c85…37c5backed No58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…4860backed Yes42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba97…315bbacked No58c23.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891c…313ebacked Yes42c23.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0c…0743backed No59c23.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea2…b18abacked No59c23.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe63a…3f6cbacked No58c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5216…c598backed No58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c7…d52fbacked No58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa201…8922backed No58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…6a46backed No58c20.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30bb…53f3backed No58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a5…1c3dbacked No58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c43…7750backed No58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…8404backed No58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fab…1c31backed No58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1332…8cd5backed No58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a2…7969backed No58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc79…5580backed No59c17.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.